tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Midland → Las Vegas via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 46%

  1. 14:21 MAF → 15:47 DFW
    AA 3652 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 26m · 72% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:58 DFW → 17:48 LAS
    AA 2864 · American · 2h 50m · 61% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Midland). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 27mMAF 14:21 to LAS 17:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.