tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Minneapolis via Washington: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:00 BUF → 07:29 DCA
    AA 3668 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 29m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 01m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 DCA → 12:20 MSP
    AA 3796 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 50m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 01m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 20mBUF 06:00 to MSP 12:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.