tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Chicago via Washington: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:00 BUF → 07:29 DCA
    AA 3668 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 29m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:25 DCA → 10:20 MDW
    WN 1444 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 20mBUF 06:00 to MDW 10:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.