tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Chicago via Washington: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:00 BUF → 07:29 DCA
    AA 3668 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 29m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:25 DCA → 10:00 ORD
    AA 4360 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 32m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 57mBUF 06:00 to ORD 10:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.