tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 36%

  1. 14:20 MEM → 16:23 ORD
    AA 3675 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 03m · 63% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:34 ORD → 20:50 CLT
    AA 2695 · American · 2h 16m · 62% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 30mMEM 14:20 to CLT 20:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.