Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Memphis → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 28%
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14:20 MEM → 16:23 ORDAA 3675 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 03m · 63% on time, 6.9% cancelled
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48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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17:11 ORD → 18:54 BNAAA 3383 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 43m · 63% on time, 6.7% cancelled
Total trip 4h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip4h 34mMEM 14:20 to BNA 18:54, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.