tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Los Angeles via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 37%

  1. 14:46 MEM → 16:35 DFW
    AA 3676 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 49m · 77% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 DFW → 18:44 LAX
    AA 1972 · American · 3h 14m · 53% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip5h 58mMEM 14:46 to LAX 18:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.