tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Boston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 38%

  1. 14:46 MEM → 16:35 DFW
    AA 3676 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 49m · 77% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:27 DFW → 22:17 BOS
    AA 2306 · American · 3h 50m · 55% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 31mMEM 14:46 to BOS 22:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.