tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 20%

  1. 18:30 MEM → 20:22 DFW
    AA 3677 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 52m · 63% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 DFW → 22:24 IAH
    AA 2209 · American · 1h 14m · 48% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 3h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip3h 54mMEM 18:30 to IAH 22:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.