tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Atlanta via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 22%

  1. 18:30 MEM → 20:22 DFW
    AA 3677 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 52m · 63% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 DFW → 00:19 ATL +1 day
    AA 2749 · American · 2h 09m · 55% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip4h 49mMEM 18:30 to ATL 00:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.