tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Austin via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 39%

  1. 17:19 MEM → 19:09 DFW
    AA 3678 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 50m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:33 DFW → 21:37 AUS
    AA 2707 · American · 1h 04m · 55% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip4h 18mMEM 17:19 to AUS 21:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.