tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 64%

  1. 10:32 MEM → 12:31 ORD
    AA 3683 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 58m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:17 ORD → 16:29 CLT
    AA 3280 · American · 2h 12m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 57mMEM 10:32 to CLT 16:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.