tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Dallas-Fort Worth via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 08:17 DAY → 08:50 ORD
    AA 3685 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 33m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 ORD → 12:13 DFW
    AA 3052 · American · 2h 33m · 82% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Dayton). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 56mDAY 08:17 to DFW 12:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.