tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wichita → Minneapolis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 27%

  1. 19:00 ICT → 20:26 DFW
    AA 3691 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 26m · 64% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 DFW → 23:57 MSP
    AA 3149 · American · 2h 27m · 44% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip4h 57mICT 19:00 to MSP 23:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.