tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Syracuse via Chicago: arrives on time 30%

  1. 13:56 BOS → 15:59 ORD
    AA 3711 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 05m · 81% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:45 ORD → 19:50 SYR
    AA 6398 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 05m · 49% on time, 8.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (8.6% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip5h 54mBOS 13:56 to SYR 19:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.