tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Grand Rapids → Orlando via Chicago: arrives on time 31%

  1. 17:28 GRR → 17:52 ORD
    AA 3715 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 24m · 75% on time, 5.2% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 ORD → 22:40 MCO
    AA 3176 · American · 2h 55m · 53% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (5.2% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip5h 12mGRR 17:28 to MCO 22:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.