tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Grand Rapids → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 41%

  1. 17:28 GRR → 17:52 ORD
    AA 3715 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 24m · 75% on time, 5.2% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:47 ORD → 21:59 CLT
    AA 689 · American · 2h 12m · 68% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (5.2% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 31mGRR 17:28 to CLT 21:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.