tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 46%

  1. 14:50 MSN → 16:02 ORD
    AA 3716 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 12m · 81% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 ORD → 20:59 CLT
    AA 2917 · American · 2h 14m · 59% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip5h 09mMSN 14:50 to CLT 20:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.