tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → San Diego via Chicago: arrives on time 49%

  1. 13:15 MSO → 17:57 ORD
    AA 3718 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 41m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 ORD → 21:22 SAN
    AA 1924 · American · 4h 22m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 1 h behind Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip9h 06mMSO 13:15 to SAN 21:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.