tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Jacksonville via Chicago: arrives on time 48%

  1. 14:02 MSP → 15:45 ORD
    AA 3719 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 43m · 79% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 44m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:29 ORD → 22:57 JAX
    AA 2096 · American · 2h 36m · 52% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 179 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 44m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip8h 03mMSP 14:02 to JAX 22:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.