tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Chicago: arrives on time 67%

  1. 14:02 MSP → 15:45 ORD
    AA 3719 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 43m · 79% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 ORD → 21:00 XNA
    AA 4105 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 00m · 70% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 58mMSP 14:02 to XNA 21:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.