tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Des Moines via Minneapolis: arrives on time 78%

  1. 11:45 ORD → 13:27 MSP
    AA 3719 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 42m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 13m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:40 MSP → 16:54 DSM
    DL 4913 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 14m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 13m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 09mORD 11:45 to DSM 16:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.