tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → Denver via Phoenix: arrives on time 70%

  1. 12:35 MRY → 14:31 PHX
    AA 3720 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 56m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 17m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:48 PHX → 19:46 DEN
    F9 2142 · Frontier · 1h 56m · 71% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Monterey). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 17m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 09mMRY 12:35 to DEN 19:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.