tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 75%

  1. 12:35 MRY → 14:31 PHX
    AA 3720 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 56m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 08m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:39 PHX → 21:18 DFW
    F9 3972 · Frontier · 2h 39m · 80% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Monterey). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 08m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 43mMRY 12:35 to DFW 21:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.