tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Philadelphia via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 32%

  1. 14:43 MSY → 16:30 DFW
    AA 3721 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 47m · 64% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 DFW → 22:17 PHL
    AA 991 · American · 3h 47m · 52% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip6h 34mMSY 14:43 to PHL 22:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.