tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pensacola → Chicago via Miami: arrives on time 36%

  1. 17:04 PNS → 19:52 MIA
    AA 3749 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 48m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:54 MIA → 23:30 ORD
    AA 1881 · American · 3h 34m · 53% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip6h 24mPNS 17:04 to ORD 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.