tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Myrtle Beach → New York via Washington: arrives on time 37%

  1. 19:07 MYR → 20:41 DCA
    AA 3750 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 34m · 47% on time, 9.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 49m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 DCA → 23:44 LGA
    AA 4660 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 14m · 70% on time, 21.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 49m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (9.5% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (21.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 37mMYR 19:07 to LGA 23:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.