tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 62%

  1. 06:36 MEM → 08:45 ORD
    AA 3758 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 09m · 89% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 ORD → 12:46 IAH
    AA 1915 · American · 2h 46m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 10mMEM 06:36 to IAH 12:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.