tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:36 MEM → 08:45 ORD
    AA 3758 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 09m · 89% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 ORD → 12:32 DTW
    AA 3498 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 34m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 58mMEM 06:36 to DTW 12:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.