tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Nashville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 46%

  1. 15:52 SDF → 17:16 DFW
    AA 3758 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 24m · 79% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:18 DFW → 20:17 BNA
    AA 1076 · American · 1h 59m · 61% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 25mSDF 15:52 to BNA 20:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.