tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Providence → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 39%

  1. 17:41 PVD → 19:50 ORD
    AA 3771 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 11m · 84% on time, 9.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 ORD → 23:59 DCA
    AA 1187 · American · 2h 04m · 58% on time, 11.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (9.7% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (11.8% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 18mPVD 17:41 to DCA 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.