tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Dallas-Fort Worth via Chicago: arrives on time 60%

  1. 16:47 TVC → 17:26 ORD
    AA 3772 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 39m · 85% on time, 9.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:26 ORD → 22:08 DFW
    AA 3544 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 42m · 73% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (9.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 21mTVC 16:47 to DFW 22:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.