tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → San Francisco via Phoenix: arrives on time 51%

  1. 12:16 SBA → 13:54 PHX
    AA 3784 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 38m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:08 PHX → 19:09 SFO
    AA 1613 · American · 2h 01m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip6h 53mSBA 12:16 to SFO 19:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.