tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → New York via Louisville: arrives on time 76%

  1. 07:25 DFW → 10:39 SDF
    AA 3788 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 14m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 34m layover in Louisville (SDF) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:13 SDF → 16:30 LGA
    DL 5637 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 16m · 81% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 34m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 04mDFW 07:25 to LGA 16:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.