tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Las Vegas via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 47%

  1. 11:09 SDF → 12:30 DFW
    AA 3788 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 21m · 90% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 DFW → 14:28 LAS
    AA 2376 · American · 2h 48m · 54% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip6h 19mSDF 11:09 to LAS 14:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.