tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 67%

  1. 11:09 SDF → 12:30 DFW
    AA 3788 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 21m · 90% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 52m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:22 DFW → 15:44 HOU
    AA 5002 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 67 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 52m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 36mSDF 11:09 to HOU 15:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.