tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Reno via Phoenix: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:16 SEA → 09:18 PHX
    AA 3792 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 02m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:12 PHX → 12:04 RNO
    AA 2418 · American · 1h 52m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 48mSEA 06:16 to RNO 12:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.