tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Sacramento via Phoenix: arrives on time 63%

  1. 06:16 SEA → 09:18 PHX
    AA 3792 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 02m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:04 PHX → 12:04 SMF
    AA 2630 · American · 2h 00m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 48mSEA 06:16 to SMF 12:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.