tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Kailua/Kona via Phoenix: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:16 SEA → 09:18 PHX
    AA 3792 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 02m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 PHX → 14:06 KOA
    AA 663 · American · 6h 26m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip10h 50mSEA 06:16 to KOA 14:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.