tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tulsa via Phoenix: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:16 SEA → 09:18 PHX
    AA 3792 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 02m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 27m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 PHX → 17:09 TUL
    AA 3826 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 24m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 162 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 27m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 53mSEA 06:16 to TUL 17:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.