tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Medford via Phoenix: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:16 SEA → 09:18 PHX
    AA 3792 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 02m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:11 PHX → 12:50 MFR
    AA 6253 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 39m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 34mSEA 06:16 to MFR 12:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.