tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tucson via Phoenix: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:16 SEA → 09:18 PHX
    AA 3792 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 02m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 PHX → 11:07 TUS
    AA 6369 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 02m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 51mSEA 06:16 to TUS 11:07, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.