tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tucson via Phoenix: arrives on time 85%

  1. 11:07 SEA → 14:10 PHX
    AA 3793 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 03m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:05 PHX → 17:54 TUS
    AA 4126 · American, flown by Envoy · 49m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 47mSEA 11:07 to TUS 17:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.