tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Des Moines via Minneapolis: arrives on time 80%

  1. 10:30 DCA → 12:20 MSP
    AA 3796 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 50m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:40 MSP → 16:54 DSM
    DL 4913 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 14m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 24mDCA 10:30 to DSM 16:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.