tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Hartford via Minneapolis: arrives on time 71%

  1. 10:30 DCA → 12:20 MSP
    AA 3796 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 50m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 06m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:26 MSP → 18:04 BDL
    DL 2285 · Delta · 2h 38m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 06m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 34mDCA 10:30 to BDL 18:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.