tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Chicago via Springfield: arrives on time 24%

  1. 17:36 DFW → 19:07 SGF
    AA 3797 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 31m · 66% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Springfield (SGF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:53 SGF → 21:45 ORD
    AA 3626 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 52m · 62% on time, 11.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (11.1% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 09mDFW 17:36 to ORD 21:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.