tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Springfield → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 18:34 SGF → 20:15 DFW
    AA 3803 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 41m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 DFW → 22:24 IAH
    AA 2209 · American · 1h 14m · 48% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 3h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip3h 50mSGF 18:34 to IAH 22:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.