tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

White Plains → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 66%

  1. 12:00 HPN → 13:38 ORD
    AA 3812 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 38m · 80% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:59 ORD → 17:34 DTW
    AA 3980 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 35m · 86% on time, 7.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (7.4% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 34mHPN 12:00 to DTW 17:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.