tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

White Plains → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 61%

  1. 12:00 HPN → 13:38 ORD
    AA 3812 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 38m · 80% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:43 ORD → 17:32 MSP
    AA 4425 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 49m · 74% on time, 9.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind White Plains). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 32mHPN 12:00 to MSP 17:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.