tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 56%

  1. 07:11 AVL → 08:29 ORD
    AA 3813 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 18m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 ORD → 13:30 EWR
    AA 2250 · American · 2h 20m · 64% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 56 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 19mAVL 07:11 to EWR 13:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.